Elon Musk has made a bunch of forecasts for the coming decade, claiming that artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics are will redefine finance and human biology. While the long term prediction is related to solving ‘problem’ of immortality, his immediate predictions focus on providing the general public with access to world-class healthcare that exceeds the quality currently available only to world leaders.In an interview on the Moonshots podcast with Peter Diamandis, Musk gave a “three-year deadline” for the medical professionals, saying that by 2030, specialised robots will begin to outmatch and outnumber human practitioners in hospitals globally. Here are the four big predictions by Musk:
Musk predicts the ‘end’ of the human surgeon
Musk argued that the current medical system is limited by human learning.“Everyone will have access to medical care that is better than what the President receives right now,” Musk said, adding, “Right now there’s a shortage of doctors and great surgeons. It takes a super long time to learn to be a good doctor, and even then, the knowledge is constantly evolving. Doctors have limited time. They make mistakes.” He also pitched Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robot as the ultimate solution to global doctor shortages. He said that by 2030, “there will probably be more Optimus robots that are great surgeons than there are all surgeons on Earth.”
Tesla CEO Elon Musk says retirement savings will become irrelevant
Musk also challenged the core of global financial planning, saying that “squirreling money away” for retirement will be irrelevant 10 or 20 years down the line. He said that if robots can eventually perform nearly all manual labour like building houses to growing food, the cost of goods and services will drop to near-zero. “Don’t worry about squirreling money away for retirement in like 10 or 20 years. It won’t matter. You won’t need to save for retirement. “If any of the things that we’ve said are true, saving for retirement will be irrelevant,” Musk said.
Elon Musk says immortality will be reality
Musk has joined the ranks of Silicon Valley “immortalists,” describing human aging as a solvable software glitch. “I have long thought that longevity or semi-immortality is an extremely solvable problem. I don’t think it’s a particularly hard problem. When you consider the fact that your body is extremely synchronized in its age, the clock must be incredibly obvious,” Musk claimed.“You’re programmed to die. And so if you change the program, you will live longer. In retrospect, the solution to longevity will seem obvious,” he added.Previously, Anthropic’s CEO Dario Amodei claimed that human lifespans will double in the next decade, Bryan Johnson, says he’ll make humans immortal by 2039.
‘AI will be more intelligent that humans’
Musk final prediction is related to ‘intelligence density’ of AI. He stated that by 2030, AI will exceed the collective intelligence of the entire human race.“I don’t just have court side seats—I’m on the court, and it still blows my mind sometimes multiple times a week,” Musk noted, pointing out, “The intelligence density potential is vastly greater than what we’re currently experiencing. So I think we’re off by two orders of magnitude in terms of intelligence density per gigabyte—characterized by the file size of the AI,” he explained.
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